Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.590157 4.226784 4.966803 5.896321 7.040697 8.413890 10.201968
2024-12-29 2.635738 3.417208 4.438512 5.894866 7.957785 10.837002 15.272370
2025-01-05 2.128552 2.929811 4.057347 5.804023 8.524391 12.747102 20.110119
2025-01-12 1.849099 2.670813 3.898992 5.937861 9.382479 15.256275 26.731603
2025-01-19 1.590103 2.384663 3.630008 5.815534 9.763119 17.049518 32.767451
2025-01-26 1.486874 2.315696 3.678859 6.212496 11.122876 20.996218 44.785527
2025-02-02 1.378363 2.217558 3.656667 6.470388 12.280448 24.921976 58.768463
2025-02-09 1.293497 2.144410 3.661515 6.773248 13.603294 29.666574 77.552919
2025-02-16 1.195667 2.033341 3.577348 6.878483 14.525032 33.814689 97.363783
2025-02-23 1.115897 1.943583 3.517873 7.020123 15.568294 38.685825 123.047639
2025-03-02 1.024360 1.819777 3.372774 6.945104 16.062719 42.259275 147.038180
2025-03-09 0.974485 1.769695 3.368410 7.187727 17.448776 49.095717 190.490012
2025-03-16 0.878624 1.629130 3.180532 7.024129 17.880397 53.812600 233.756304
2025-03-23 0.803792 1.524327 3.059631 7.019060 18.847501 61.295433 304.770717
2025-03-30 0.732355 1.416093 2.911819 6.907429 19.455791 67.934227 384.222755
2025-04-06 0.687879 1.358977 2.870659 7.072174 21.043388 79.886504 529.228630
2025-04-13 0.630307 1.265621 2.728888 6.921583 21.498964 87.273322 659.877447
2025-04-20 0.613227 1.260384 2.799616 7.410719 24.540520 110.386916 1032.400586
2025-04-27 0.588315 1.233718 2.812153 7.729185 27.110174 134.101267 1545.573293
2025-05-04 0.567513 1.213887 2.838981 8.103847 30.149906 164.877125 2402.449359
2025-05-11 0.538391 1.170314 2.795436 8.234196 32.198069 192.113234 3476.120824
2025-05-18 0.513448 1.134027 2.766259 8.409769 34.599610 226.210491 5210.937416
2025-05-25 0.481557 1.076664 2.669229 8.316758 35.617822 250.745575 7105.558559